Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ÍF II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ÍF II hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the 1. Deild, while ÍF II holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
9.5%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00