Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
B36 II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.20 conceded, while B36 II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and B36 II hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the 1. Deild, while B36 II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
B36 II
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
11.3%
B36 II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 21 · avg 0.60/4.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20