GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hayes & Yeading United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hayes & Yeading United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Winchester City are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hayes & Yeading United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hayes & Yeading United

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Hayes & Yeading United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hayes & Yeading UnitedLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Winchester CityLWLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.75/2.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 4/4
Hayes & Yeading UnitedWinchester City
46.8Attack50.0
46.8Defence46.8
36.5Form45.2
45.1Power48.2
1.60xG1.49
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