GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hayes & Yeading United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Salisbury are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hayes & Yeading UnitedWWLDL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SalisburyLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedSalisbury
46.8Attack55.6
46.8Defence63.5
36.5Form62.7
45.1Power62.5
1.05xG1.73
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