GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hayes & Yeading United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Poole Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hayes & Yeading UnitedDLLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownLWWLD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedPoole Town
46.8Attack33.3
46.8Defence66.7
36.5Form50.0
45.1Power53.0
1.40xG1.43
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