Hayes & Yeading Unitedvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/21/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hayes & Yeading United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60