GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/21/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hayes & Yeading United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hayes & Yeading UnitedLLWDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedMerthyr Town
46.8Attack67.5
46.8Defence53.2
36.5Form53.2
45.1Power57.2
1.37xG2.06
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