GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/1/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hayes & Yeading United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hendon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hayes & Yeading UnitedLDLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HendonLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedHendon
46.8Attack55.6
46.8Defence48.4
36.5Form46.0
45.1Power51.9
1.54xG1.67
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