GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hayes & Yeading United are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chesham United are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hayes & Yeading UnitedWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Chesham UnitedWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Hayes & Yeading UnitedChesham United
46.8Attack65.9
46.8Defence63.5
36.5Form71.4
45.1Power67.2
1.03xG2.08
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