Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zlin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havířov 0-4 Zlin
Original prediction
Zlin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.04 | 6.4% | 34.6% | 28.2 pts |
| Draw | 7.09 | 12.7% | 22.3% | 9.6 pts |
| Away | 1.12 | 80.8% | 43.1% | -37.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Zlin
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Zlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HavířovDLLLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ZlinLLLWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HavířovZlin
88.9Attack66.7
77.8Defence100.0
77.8Form100.0
79.5Power88.7
2.21xG1.57