Havířovvs
Zbrojovka Brno II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 8/30/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zbrojovka Brno II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havířov 1-3 Zbrojovka Brno II
Original prediction
Zbrojovka Brno II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 23.9% | 35.9% | 11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.6% | 26.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 52.5% | 37.8% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Zbrojovka Brno II
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Zbrojovka Brno II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00