Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Havířov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Havířov are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Šumperk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Havířov hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Havířov holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Havířov
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Havířov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60