Havířovvs
Sigma Olomouc II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/11/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sigma Olomouc II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havířov 3-0 Sigma Olomouc II
Original prediction
Sigma Olomouc II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.61 | 19.5% | 13.3% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.2% | 19.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.3% | 67.5% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Sigma Olomouc II
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
Sigma Olomouc II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40