Haverfordwest County AFCvs
Trefelin
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haverfordwest County AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haverfordwest County AFC 2-1 Trefelin
Original prediction
Haverfordwest County AFC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.8% | 46.4% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.7% | 28.7% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–07%
Predicted outcome
Haverfordwest County AFC
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Haverfordwest County AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20
GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00