GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Haverfordwest County AFC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Trefelin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Haverfordwest County AFC hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 8.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 12.3% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

26.3%

Model confidence

12.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Haverfordwest County AFCLLLDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TrefelinLLWWW

GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Haverfordwest County AFCTrefelin
0.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
21.5Power8.0
1.72xG1.22
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