GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/11/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Haverfordwest County AFC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Haverfordwest County AFC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pontypridd Town are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontypridd Town hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Premier League, while Haverfordwest County AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Haverfordwest County AFC

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Haverfordwest County AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Haverfordwest County AFCDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Pontypridd TownL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Haverfordwest County AFCPontypridd Town
0.0Attack24.0
50.0Defence57.3
0.0Form32.3
21.5Power39.6
1.19xG0.81
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