Haverfordwest County AFCvs
Caernarfon Town
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/26/2023, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caernarfon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Haverfordwest County AFC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Caernarfon Town are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Caernarfon Town hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Premier League, while Caernarfon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caernarfon Town
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Caernarfon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50