GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/26/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caernarfon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Haverfordwest County AFC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Caernarfon Town are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Caernarfon Town hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Premier League, while Caernarfon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caernarfon Town

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Caernarfon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Haverfordwest County AFCLDDLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Caernarfon TownWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
0.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power53.0
1.33xG1.53
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