Haverfordwest County AFCvs
Briton Ferry
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haverfordwest County AFC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haverfordwest County AFC 3-1 Briton Ferry
Original prediction
Haverfordwest County AFC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 38.2% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.7% | 27.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.8% | 33.9% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Haverfordwest County AFC
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Haverfordwest County AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00