Havelsevs
Würzburger Kickers
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Würzburger Kickers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havelse 2-2 Würzburger Kickers
Original prediction
Würzburger Kickers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.3% | 34.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 27.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.0% | 38.2% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Würzburger Kickers
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Würzburger Kickers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00