GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Waldhof Mannheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Havelse 3-2 Waldhof Mannheim

Original prediction

Waldhof Mannheim

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5825.4%30.1%4.6 pts
Draw3.9223.2%25.1%1.9 pts
Away1.7751.4%44.9%-6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Waldhof Mannheim

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Waldhof Mannheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HavelseLLDLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Waldhof MannheimLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HavelseWaldhof Mannheim
33.3Attack83.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.48xG1.92
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