Havelsevs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havelse 2-2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Original prediction
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.7% | 35.4% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.9% | 26.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.3% | 38.3% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20