GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 7/30/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Havelse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Havelse are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Holstein Kiel II are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstein Kiel II hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Regionalliga - Nord, while Havelse holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Havelse

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Havelse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HavelseLDDLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Holstein Kiel IIWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
HavelseHolstein Kiel II
55.9Attack61.8
47.1Defence48.0
48.0Form54.9
51.3Power55.7
1.89xG1.87
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