Havelsevs
Fortuna Köln
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Havelse · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havelse 1-3 Fortuna Köln
Original prediction
Havelse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.2% | 37.6% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.5% | 26.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.3% | 36.3% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Havelse
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Havelse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HavelseLDLWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna KölnLDDWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HavelseFortuna Köln
50.0Attack27.8
33.3Defence61.1
22.2Form33.3
38.2Power43.7
1.39xG1.25