Havelsevs
FC Saarbrücken
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/25/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Saarbrücken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havelse 3-2 FC Saarbrücken
Original prediction
FC Saarbrücken
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.18 | 21.6% | 14.7% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.0% | 14.8% | -7.2 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.4% | 70.5% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–48%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Saarbrücken
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
FC Saarbrücken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40