GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/1/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Havant & Wville are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Winchester City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Havant & WvilleWLDWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Winchester CityLDLDL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Havant & WvilleWinchester City
0.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence46.8
0.0Form45.2
18.3Power48.2
1.45xG1.64
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