GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/6/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Havant & Wville are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Poole Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Havant & WvilleDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownDWDWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Havant & WvillePoole Town
0.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
18.3Power53.0
1.27xG1.57
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