Havant & WvillevsMerthyr Town

Havant & Wville are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.