GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/25/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Havant & Wville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Havant & Wville are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marlow are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Marlow hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Havant & Wville holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Havant & Wville

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

63.1%

Havant & Wville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Havant & WvilleWDDDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
MarlowLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Havant & WvilleMarlow
0.0Attack35.7
33.3Defence8.7
0.0Form16.7
18.3Power23.7
2.45xG1.09
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