Havant & Wvillevs
Hanworth Villa
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hanworth Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havant & Wville 2-2 Hanworth Villa
Original prediction
Hanworth Villa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.0% | 16.0% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 19.4% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.1% | 64.6% | 23.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Hanworth Villa
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
64.6%
Hanworth Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60