Havant & Wvillevs
Gloucester City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Havant & Wville 3-3 Gloucester City
Original prediction
Gloucester City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.5% | 35.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.3% | 37.7% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Gloucester City
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00