GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/14/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Havant & Wville are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 71.3-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Havant & WvilleDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Chertsey TownWWLDW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Havant & WvilleChertsey Town
0.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
18.3Power89.7
1.18xG2.00
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