Havadarvs
Be'sat Kermanshah
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Havadar 0-0 Be'sat Kermanshah, with an exact score probability of 44%.
Prediction record
Final result
Havadar 0-3 Be'sat Kermanshah
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.8% | 36.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.78 | 32.4% | 41.1% | 8.7 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.8% | 22.8% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Projected Score
Havadar 0–0 Be'sat Kermanshah
Exact score probability: 44%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HavadarDLDWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Be'sat KermanshahDLLLL
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HavadarBe'sat Kermanshah
31.4Attack25.5
77.5Defence75.5
49.0Form41.2
54.1Power49.4
0.52xG0.32