Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
HauPa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while GBK are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and GBK hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Suomen Cup, while GBK holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
GBK
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
7.5%
GBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80