Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haukar 1-2 Selfoss
Original prediction
Haukar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.4% | 58.3% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.2% | 17.0% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.3% | 24.7% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HaukarWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SelfossWWDWL
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HaukarSelfoss
90.0Attack85.0
56.7Defence43.3
78.3Form65.0
74.3Power64.1
3.49xG2.03