Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Haukar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Magni are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Haukar hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the 2. Deild, while Haukar holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
9.7%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/4.00