Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Haugesund are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Vard are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
85.8%
Model confidence
12.2%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80