Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Haugesund are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Ham-Kam are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80