Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Haugesund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Bjarg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 6.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
83.8%
Model confidence
11.9%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80