3. Division - Girone 43. Division - Girone 4
Monday, 27 July 2026Last updated 10:06
Haugesund II

Haugesund II

Home
D
22
Full time
Varhaug

Varhaug

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Haugesund II(30%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Haugesund II
30%
Draw
25%
Varhaug
46%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Haugesund II
73
Varhaug
99
Defence
Haugesund II
27
Varhaug
66
Momentum
Haugesund II
33
Varhaug
100
Danger (xG)
Haugesund II
1.80
Varhaug
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Haugesund II)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Varhaug)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Haugesund II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Varhaug)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Haugesund IIHaugesund II
D
VarhaugVarhaug
W

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Haugesund II30%
Draw25%
Varhaug46%

Varhaug leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Haugesund II head into this in 3. Division - Girone 4 fixture in mixed form (D), while Varhaug arrive in mixed form (W). Haugesund II have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Varhaug over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Haugesund II (73/100) and Varhaug (99/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Haugesund II have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Varhaug have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Haugesund II and Varhaug in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Haugesund II to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Haugesund II 2979%, Draw 2470%, Varhaug 4551%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Haugesund II

Haugesund II

D
@ Hinna
14 May 2026
22
Varhaug

Varhaug

W
@ Staal Jørpeland
14 May 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Haugesund II vs Varhaug?

GoalVio's model predicts Haugesund II to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Haugesund II vs Varhaug?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Haugesund II vs Varhaug?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Haugesund II vs Varhaug?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more