Haugesund IIvs
Mandalskameratene
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mandalskameratene · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 2-4 (7%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haugesund II 3-4 Mandalskameratene
Original prediction
Mandalskameratene
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.24 | 21.1% | 15.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 20.7% | 14.2% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.1% | 70.1% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.2–47%
- 3.1–57%
Predicted outcome
Mandalskameratene
Probability
70.1%
Model confidence
70.1%
Mandalskameratene has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40