Haugesund IIvs
Åkra
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haugesund II 2-0 Åkra
Original prediction
Haugesund II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 82.4% | 68.3% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 8.46 | 10.7% | 13.8% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 13.05 | 6.9% | 17.9% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
Haugesund II
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Haugesund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40