Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Hatta SC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Nasr are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80