GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 4/6/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Hatta SC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hatta SCLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaLDLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hatta SCAl-Ittihad Kalba
25.0Attack66.7
29.2Defence33.3
13.9Form33.3
26.1Power45.3
0.94xG2.22
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