Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hatta SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hatta SC 1-2 Al-Dhafra
Original prediction
Hatta SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 31.2% | 40.1% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.0% | 25.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.8% | 34.3% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Hatta SC
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Hatta SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hatta SCWLLLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al-DhafraLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hatta SCAl-Dhafra
33.3Attack8.3
25.0Defence33.3
25.0Form0.0
31.6Power19.6
1.75xG1.38