Hataysporvs
Karaköprü Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karaköprü Belediyespor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hatayspor 1-2 Karaköprü Belediyespor
Original prediction
Karaköprü Belediyespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.50 | 20.1% | 34.4% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.4% | 26.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.5% | 39.2% | -17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Karaköprü Belediyespor
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Karaköprü Belediyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60