Hataysporvs
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hatayspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hatayspor 2-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Original prediction
Hatayspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.2% | 48.8% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.6% | 25.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.2% | 25.4% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Hatayspor
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Hatayspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40