GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hastings United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hastings United are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Cheshunt are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hastings United hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Hastings United holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hastings United

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Hastings United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hastings UnitedDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
CheshuntDLLWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hastings UnitedCheshunt
56.3Attack0.0
57.1Defence100.0
53.2Form33.3
55.7Power48.3
1.73xG1.06
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