Hassania Agadirvs
Maghreb Fès
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hassania Agadir 1-2 Maghreb Fès
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 28.3% | 35.3% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.8% | 29.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.8% | 35.1% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.6%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hassania AgadirWDLDD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Maghreb FèsWWDWW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hassania AgadirMaghreb Fès
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.38xG1.24