Hartford AthleticvsRhode Island

COMPLETED

USA · USL Championship · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Hartford Athletic 0-0 Rhode Island, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Final result

Hartford Athletic 2-1 Rhode Island

Original prediction

Rhode Island

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.44	37.3%	33.7%	-3.5 pts
Draw	3.17	28.6%	30.0%	1.4 pts
Away	2.67	34.1%	36.2%	2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Projected Score

Hartford Athletic 0–0 Rhode Island

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Hartford AthleticLDLLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5

Rhode IslandDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5

Hartford AthleticRhode Island

37.9Attack47.1

63.2Defence64.4

46.0Form48.3

51.0Power53.8

0.86xG0.96