Hartford Athleticvs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 6/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hartford Athletic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.4% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
31.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20