Hartford Athleticvs
New Mexico United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hartford Athletic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while New Mexico United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.3% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
23.3%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60