GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Hartford Athletic are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Detroit City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.5% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

26.5%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hartford AthleticDDLDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Detroit CityWLWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hartford AthleticDetroit City
24.1Attack48.1
68.5Defence68.5
38.9Form57.4
45.8Power59.2
0.51xG0.86
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