Hartford Athleticvs
Detroit City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hartford Athletic are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Detroit City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.5% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
26.5%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60